Speaker
Description
A project titled ”Natural and anthropogenic factors of climate change – analyzes of global and local periodical components and long-term forecasts” funded by the Bulgarian National Science Fund allows us to review and stream studies of Bulgarian scientists in order to identify the role of natural and anthropogenic factors causing climate change in global or regional scale. The Natural factors act in long time and show long-term periodicity, while the anthropogenic influence records are only of hundred or tens of years duration. Traditionally, the paleoclimates are field of geological research, solar-terrestrial relations are field of physicists and anthropogenic records of meteorological and atmospheric composition parameters are field of variety of professions. In this project we look for links and analogies among these different fields of research, but also perform studies in the different fields. A model of Kilifarska et al relates the near surface temperatures with ozone content in the lower troposphere, which depends on the penetration of cosmic rays and solar winds. Chapanov is studying climate and solar parameters records spectra and founds common periodicity. Alexandrov et al perform research on the climatological data available in Bulgaria and on some climate projections data. Barantiev et al study local coastal climates of the wind and turbulence vertical profiles.
Acknowledgement National Science Fund of Bulgaria, Contract KP-06-N34/1, Natural and anthropogenic factors of climate change - analyzes of global and local periodical components and long-term forecasts.
References
1. Alexandrov, V.A., Slavov, N.. in Drought in Bulgaria: A Contemporary Analog for Climate Change, Drought impacts on crops Book Chapter. Published August 23, 2018 by Routledge, 2018, ISBN:9781138622074, 157-170.
2. Barantiev, D., Batchvarova, E.. Wind Speed Profile Statistics from Acoustic Soundings at a Black Sea Coastal Site. Atmosphere, 12, 9, Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI), 2021, ISSN:2073-4433, DOI:https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos12091122, 1122.
3. Barantiev, D., Batchvarova, E., Hristina Kirova, Orlin Gueorguiev. Climatological Study of Extreme Wind Events in a Coastal Area. In: Dobrinkova N., Gadzhev G. (eds) Environmental Protection and Disaster Risks. EnviroRISK 2020. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, 361, Springer, Cham., 2021, ISBN:978-3-030-70189-5, DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-70190-1_5,
Chapanov Y.. Anthropogenic and Solar Influence on Temperature over Bulgaria. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, 361, Springer, 2021, ISBN:978-3-030-70190-1, DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-70190-1_6, 75-89.
4. Kilifarska, N, Velichkova, T, Batchvarova, E. From phase transition to interdecadal changes of ENSO, altered by the lower stratospheric ozone. Remoth Sensing, 13, MDPI, 2022, ISSN:2072-4292.
Shiokawa, K., Georgieva, K.. A review of the SCOSTEP’s 5-year scientific program VarSITI—Variability of the Sun and Its Terrestrial Impact. Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 8, 1, Springer Open, 2021, ISSN:21974284, DOI:0.1186/s40645-021-00410-1.
5. Velichkova, Tsvetelina, Kilifarska, Natalya Obridko, V. N., Abunin, A.A., Georgieva, K., Kirov, B., Shelting, B.D., Livshits, I.M.. Some Features of the Present-day Transition Period in Solar Activity. Geomagnetism and Aeronomy, 60, 8, Pleiades Publishing, Ltd, 2020, ISSN:0016-7932, DOI:10.1134/S0016793220080186, 1007-1016.
